The Debate Over Merrill Kelly's Future with the Diamondbacks
Let's dive into a fascinating discussion about the Arizona Diamondbacks' potential move to re-sign starting pitcher Merrill Kelly. While I believe the team might lean towards bringing him back, it's important to consider the pros and cons of this decision.
The Diamondbacks are in dire need of reliable starting pitchers, with only one pitcher boasting an impressive ERA+ last year. The team's current rotation leaves much to be desired, and Kelly's potential return could be a game-changer. However, there are some critical factors to ponder before making a decision.
The Devil's Advocate Argument
Kelly's loyalty to the organization is undeniable. The Diamondbacks gave him a chance when others didn't, and he has expressed his desire to return. This connection could be a significant advantage for the team. However, let's explore the potential risks and rewards of this reunion.
Age: A Steep Curve
Here's where it gets controversial. Merrill Kelly is 37 years old, and the statistics don't lie. Few pitchers of his age continue to excel as starting pitchers. In fact, only one pitcher aged 37 or older managed to achieve a 2 bWAR season this year. The aging curve for starting pitchers is unforgiving, and it's a concern that cannot be ignored.
Peripherals and Performance
Kelly's recent performance has been impressive, but there are some peripheral stats that raise questions. His xERA, a metric based on exit velocity and launch angle, suggests he might be due for some regression. Additionally, his BABIP (batting average on balls in play) has been consistently low, which could indicate some luck or a potential unsustainable trend.
The Cost Factor
ESPN and MLB Trade Rumors have projected Kelly's next contract to be worth around $35-36 million over two years. However, the Diamondbacks might not be able to afford such a deal. A more realistic offer could be a one-year contract with a team option, but this would require Kelly to take a significant hometown discount. The question remains: how willing is Kelly to accept such an offer, especially after already doing so in the past?
And This is the Part Most People Miss...
The decision to re-sign Kelly is not just about his performance on the field. It's about the team's long-term strategy and the message it sends to fans and players alike. Is it worth the risk to bring back a veteran pitcher, or should the team focus on developing younger talent? These are the tough questions that need answering.
So, what do you think? Should the Diamondbacks take a chance on Merrill Kelly, or is it time to look towards the future? Let's hear your thoughts in the comments! This debate is sure to spark some interesting discussions.
